● The £58.4m loss for canned foods is mainly due to a decrease in price per kg in most sectors of –1.8%, equivalent to £40.2m.
● The 2.9% growth for own label has primarily been driven by more frequent trips (+3.1%) as shoppers switch more spend from brands. Own label’s price decline has been steeper.
● Brands face an increasing battle to justify their premium pricing and differentiate themselves as shoppers purchase less.
● Tesco has seen own-label sales increase 7%, but this has not been enough to offset branded losses: it has declined 3.3% at total canned goods level. Asda and Morrisons fell 9.3% and 6% respectively.
● Losses among the big four are primarily driven by shoppers spending less. Asda is also seeing shoppers switch spend to other retailers, especially Aldi and Tesco.
● Aldi and Iceland have bucked the trend with sales up 9.1% and 8.6% respectively.
● Some subcategory declines could be due to the general shift to meals with lower fat and salt.
● Canned fish is in decline at a total market level, but own-label sales rose 9.3%.
● The percentage sold on promotion has fallen from 40.2% to 37.5%.
Bianca Draghici/Kantar Worldpanel
TAKE HOME SHARE | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e March 2017 | ||||
£m | y-o-y% | kgs (m) | y-o-y% | |
Canned Fish | £ 483.7 | -2.5 | 89.3 | -0.7 |
Baked Bean | £ 325.8 | -3.8 | 284.4 | -2.3 |
Ambient Soup | £ 312.6 | -4.3 | 188.7 | -2.7 |
Tomato Products | £ 238.1 | 1.6 | 224.3 | 5.3 |
Canned Hot Meats | £ 158.5 | -4.0 | 61.7 | -3.5 |
Tinned Fruit | £ 157.6 | -0.2 | 83.3 | -1.3 |
Prepared Peas&Beans | £ 134.1 | -0.1 | 114.0 | 1.1 |
Cold Canned Meats | £ 118.4 | -7.9 | 22.7 | -5.8 |
Canned Vegetables | £ 117.1 | 1.3 | 74.3 | 2.1 |
Canned Pasta Products | £ 91.6 | -3.9 | 62.4 | -6.7 |
Canned Rice Puddings | £ 30.8 | -12.0 | 26.4 | -8.6 |
Vegetable In Jar | £ 20.1 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
Ambient Vgtrn Products | £ 3.1 | 5.0 | 0.8 | -1.6 |
Fruit Filling | £ 2.9 | -1.4 | 1.0 | -0.3 |
Tinned Sponge Puddings | £ 1.0 | -24.8 | 0.3 | -25.1 |
Total Canned Goods | £ 2,195.4 | -2.6 | 1,237.3 | -0.8 |
BRANDED VS OWN LABEL | ||||
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e March 2017 | ||||
£m | y-o-y% | kgs (m) | y-o-y% | |
Branded | £ 1,327.6 | -5.9 | 630.6 | -5.3 |
Own label | £ 867.7 | 2.9 | 606.6 | 4.3 |
RETAIL SHARE | ||||
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e March 2017 | ||||
TRADING | VALUE | |||
Retailers | grocery | cat | index | y-o-y% |
Asda | 13.2 | 15.2 | 115.2 | -9.3 |
Morrisons | 9.9 | 11.4 | 115.2 | -6.0 |
Lidl | 4 | 4.6 | 115.0 | 2.2 |
Aldi | 5.4 | 6.1 | 113.0 | 9.1 |
Sainsbury's | 14.1 | 14.7 | 104.3 | -1.4 |
Tesco | 25.1 | 26.1 | 104.0 | -3.3 |
Iceland | 2.2 | 2.0 | 90.9 | 8.6 |
The Co-Operative | 5.2 | 4.3 | 82.7 | -3.0 |
Waitrose | 5 | 4 | 80.0 | 0.3 |
Marks & Spencer | 3.5 | 1.6 | 45.7 | -5.5 |
● It’s hard to find many winners in a category that has seen sales plunge 4.1% on volumes down 3.5% (according to IRI, whose read does not include the discounters).
● But there are some: Del Monte is defying the downturn in canned food by emphasising the health benefits of fruit and developing exotic fruit mixes in a variety of formats; Fray Bentos is up partly as a result of lower prices
● Own label is the real winner, however, having grown 3.3%. Tesco has been the biggest driver of this, according to further analysis from Kantar, with its canned & ambient own label sales up 7%. That the retailer’s overall sector sales are still down (see p56) suggests that brands are still crucial to the health of the category.
● So long as they offer a tangible, significant point of difference to own label, that is. With Princes’ sales down a whopping £40.7m in the past year, you could argue the brand has failed to do this. Princes has suffered huge losses of shelf space; its fish products have been the biggest casualty, losing £29.1m (25.7% of its value), while its meat products lost £8m (13.8%) and fruit declined by £3.4m (16.7%).
●Heinz’s performance points to the humble can’s fall from favour. Tinned beans are the greatest contributor to the brand’s £8.9m loss – they’re down £4.1m (2.2%) – followed by its Classic soups, which have lost £3.8m or 2.6%. Meanwhile, Heinz Beanz Snap Pots are flying, up 9.3% to £13.4m. Pasta Snap Pots are up 548.3%, albeit from a smaller base.
Canned: winners & losers | |||
---|---|---|---|
% | £m | ||
Winners | Own Label | 3.3 | 24.2 |
Del Monte | 13.1 | 2.6 | |
Fray Bentos | 7.4 | 1.2 | |
Losers | Ambrosia | -5.5 | -3.4 |
Napolina | -6.9 | -4.8 | |
Homepride | -19.1 | -5.8 | |
Baxters | -14.8 | -6.2 | |
Heinz | -2.0 | -8.9 | |
Dolmio | -12.1 | -14.9 | |
Princes | -21.3 | -40.7 |