● The £58.4m loss for canned foods is mainly due to a decrease in price per kg in most sectors of –1.8%, equivalent to £40.2m.

● The 2.9% growth for own label has primarily been driven by more frequent trips (+3.1%) as shoppers switch more spend from brands. Own label’s price decline has been steeper.

● Brands face an increasing battle to justify their premium pricing and differentiate themselves as shoppers purchase less.

● Tesco has seen own-label sales increase 7%, but this has not been enough to offset branded losses: it has declined 3.3% at total canned goods level. Asda and Morrisons fell 9.3% and 6% respectively.

● Losses among the big four are primarily driven by shoppers spending less. Asda is also seeing shoppers switch spend to other retailers, especially Aldi and Tesco.

● Aldi and Iceland have bucked the trend with sales up 9.1% and 8.6% respectively.

● Some subcategory declines could be due to the general shift to meals with lower fat and salt. 

● Canned fish is in decline at a total market level, but own-label sales rose 9.3%.

● The percentage sold on promotion has fallen from 40.2% to 37.5%.

Bianca Draghici/Kantar Worldpanel

Canned & ambient category snapshot 2017
TAKE HOME SHARE
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e March 2017
         
  £m y-o-y% kgs (m) y-o-y%
   Canned Fish    £                   483.7 -2.5                               89.3 -0.7
   Baked Bean    £                   325.8 -3.8                             284.4 -2.3
   Ambient Soup    £                   312.6 -4.3                             188.7 -2.7
   Tomato Products    £                   238.1 1.6                             224.3 5.3
   Canned Hot Meats    £                   158.5 -4.0                               61.7 -3.5
   Tinned Fruit    £                   157.6 -0.2                               83.3 -1.3
   Prepared Peas&Beans    £                   134.1 -0.1                             114.0 1.1
   Cold Canned Meats    £                   118.4 -7.9                               22.7 -5.8
   Canned Vegetables    £                   117.1 1.3                               74.3 2.1
   Canned Pasta Products    £                     91.6 -3.9                               62.4 -6.7
   Canned Rice Puddings    £                     30.8 -12.0                               26.4 -8.6
   Vegetable In Jar    £                     20.1 5.3                                 3.5 5.2
   Ambient Vgtrn Products    £                       3.1 5.0                                 0.8 -1.6
   Fruit Filling    £                       2.9 -1.4                                 1.0 -0.3
   Tinned Sponge Puddings    £                       1.0 -24.8                                 0.3 -25.1
  Total Canned Goods    £                2,195.4 -2.6                          1,237.3 -0.8
     
BRANDED VS OWN LABEL
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e March 2017
         
  £m y-o-y% kgs (m) y-o-y%
Branded  £                1,327.6 -5.9 630.6 -5.3
Own label  £                            867.7 2.9 606.6 4.3
     
RETAIL SHARE
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e March 2017
  TRADING VALUE
Retailers grocery cat index  y-o-y%
Asda   13.2 15.2 115.2 -9.3
Morrisons   9.9 11.4 115.2 -6.0
Lidl   4 4.6 115.0 2.2
Aldi   5.4 6.1 113.0 9.1
Sainsbury's   14.1 14.7 104.3 -1.4
Tesco   25.1 26.1 104.0 -3.3
Iceland   2.2 2.0 90.9 8.6
The Co-Operative   5.2 4.3 82.7 -3.0
Waitrose   5 4 80.0 0.3
Marks & Spencer   3.5 1.6 45.7 -5.5

● It’s hard to find many winners in a category that has seen sales plunge 4.1% on volumes down 3.5% (according to IRI, whose read does not include the discounters).

● But there are some: Del Monte is defying the downturn in canned food by emphasising the health benefits of fruit and developing exotic fruit mixes in a variety of formats; Fray Bentos is up partly as a result of lower prices

● Own label is the real winner, however, having grown 3.3%. Tesco has been the biggest driver of this, according to further analysis from Kantar, with its canned & ambient own label sales up 7%. That the retailer’s overall sector sales are still down (see p56) suggests that brands are still crucial to the health of the category.

● So long as they offer a tangible, significant point of difference to own label, that is. With Princes’ sales down a whopping £40.7m in the past year, you could argue the brand has failed to do this. Princes has suffered huge losses of shelf space; its fish products have been the biggest casualty, losing £29.1m (25.7% of its value), while its meat products lost £8m (13.8%) and fruit declined by £3.4m (16.7%).

●Heinz’s performance points to the humble can’s fall from favour. Tinned beans are the greatest contributor to the brand’s £8.9m loss – they’re down £4.1m (2.2%) – followed by its Classic soups, which have lost £3.8m or 2.6%. Meanwhile, Heinz Beanz Snap Pots are flying, up 9.3% to £13.4m. Pasta Snap Pots are up 548.3%, albeit from a smaller base.

Canned: winners & losers
Canned: winners & losers
    % £m
Winners Own Label 3.3 24.2
  Del Monte 13.1 2.6
  Fray Bentos 7.4 1.2
Losers Ambrosia -5.5 -3.4
  Napolina -6.9 -4.8
  Homepride -19.1 -5.8
  Baxters -14.8 -6.2
  Heinz -2.0 -8.9
  Dolmio -12.1 -14.9
  Princes -21.3 -40.7