● Proof of how yoghurt brands have been hit by the price war doesn’t get much clearer than the yawning price gap between them and own label (see table).
● It’s widening: the average price of the top five brands is down 3.2%, due chiefly to a switch from multibuys to price cuts; own-label prices have risen, fetching an average of 50p a litre more.
● Price is not the only issue for the big three brands (though volume is up for Müllerlight); a shift to big pot brands and natural yoghurt is also significant.
● Yeo Valley – top brand in big pots and reliant on natural yoghurt for most of its sales – has been a key beneficiary. New flavours and an on-pack loyalty scheme also helped Yeo.
YOGHURT AND POT DESSERTS BESTSELLERS | ||||||
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IRI: 52 w/e 28 January 2016 | ||||||
VALUE | VOLUME | AVERAGE PRICE | ||||
£m | y-o-y% | litres (m) | y-o-y% | £/ltr | y-o-y% | |
Own Label | £622.8 | 0.6 | 192.5 | -0.6 | £3.24 | 1.2 |
Muller Corner | £183.8 | -9.3 | 64.2 | -4.3 | £2.86 | -5.2 |
Mullerlight | £176.3 | -1.5 | 68.4 | 4.6 | £2.58 | -5.8 |
Activia | £145.8 | -11.0 | 51.6 | -7.3 | £2.82 | -4.0 |
Yeo Valley | £109.2 | 3.1 | 36.6 | 3.0 | £2.99 | 0.1 |
Actimel | £96.5 | 3.7 | 39.3 | 4.7 | £2.46 | -1.0 |
Cadbury | £64.5 | 1.9 | 11.7 | 11.0 | £5.49 | -8.1 |
Onken | £61.3 | -4.7 | 25.9 | -2.1 | £2.37 | -2.6 |
Petits Filous | £58.9 | -4.5 | 16.8 | -6.2 | £3.51 | 1.8 |
Total | £57.6 | 11.5 | 11.8 | 14.2 | £4.88 | -2.4 |
● Ninety seven per cent of households buy into the yoghurts & pot desserts market, but we’re buying less volume each time we shop. Therefore volumes are in slight decline.
● This is due to a shift in promotional mechanics to price cuts from volume-driving deals. Another factor is a shift towards big pots, leading to shoppers buying fewer pots per trip.
● Overall prices have risen 0.6%, driven mainly by branded yoghurt and fromage frais. Growth was seen in higher priced Greek-style, dairy-free and protein yoghurts as shoppers moved away from reduced-fat options.
● Shoppers also moved towards more ‘natural’ and less processed options. These ‘healthy’ sectors are particularly popular in a more affluent market, and protein is very much targeting male consumers.
● In dairy-free, Alpro is still dominant but Arla’s newly launched Lactofree already has 6% value share.
TAKE HOME SHARE | ||||
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Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e 1 January 2017 | ||||
TOTAL | VALUE | VOLUME | ||
£m | y-o-y% | pots (m) | y-o-y% | |
Yoghurt & Fromage Frais | 1,682.5 | - 1.0 | 4,826.0 | - 2.2 |
Chilled Desserts | 717.5 | 1.9 | 1,530.7 | 2.8 |
Yoghurt Drinks | 295.6 | 3.1 | 977.9 | 3.9 |
TOTAL CATEGORY | 2,695.5 | 0.2 | 7,334.6 | - 0.4 |
BRANDS VS OWN LABEL | ||||
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e 1 January 2017 | ||||
VALUE | VOLUME | |||
£m | y-o-y% | pots (m) | y-o-y% | |
Branded | 1815.0 | - 1.2 | 5024.3 | - 2.0 |
Own Label | 880.5 | 3.3 | 2310.2 | 3.4 |
TOTAL CATEGORY | 2695.5 | 0.2 | 7334.6 | - 0.4 |
RETAIL SHARE | ||||
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e 1 January 2017 | ||||
VALUE | VALUE | |||
retailers | grocery | category | index | y-o-y% |
Marks & Spencer | 3.5 | 4.3 | 123.6 | 2.1 |
Waitrose | 5.0 | 6.1 | 123.2 | 6.6 |
Asda | 13.3 | 15.5 | 116.4 | -7.0 |
Sainsbury's | 14.2 | 16.2 | 114.3 | -5.7 |
Morrisons | 10.0 | 11.3 | 112.9 | 4.9 |
Tesco | 25.2 | 28.1 | 111.5 | -0.6 |
Aldi | 5.3 | 4.9 | 92.4 | 20.6 |
The Co-Operative | 5.2 | 4.5 | 87.2 | -3.3 |
Lidl | 3.9 | 3.3 | 85.1 | 15.3 |
Iceland | 2.1 | 1.4 | 65.1 | 19.3 |