● Proof of how yoghurt brands have been hit by the price war doesn’t get much clearer than the yawning price gap between them and own label (see table). 

● It’s widening: the average price of the top five brands is down 3.2%, due chiefly to a switch from multibuys to price cuts; own-label prices have risen, fetching an average of 50p a litre more. 

● Price is not the only issue for the big three brands (though volume is up for Müllerlight); a shift to big pot brands and natural yoghurt is also significant. 

● Yeo Valley – top brand in big pots and reliant on natural yoghurt for most of its sales – has been a key beneficiary. New flavours and an on-pack loyalty scheme also helped Yeo.

YOGHURT AND POT DESSERTS BESTSELLERS
YOGHURT AND POT DESSERTS BESTSELLERS
IRI: 52 w/e  28 January 2016
  VALUE VOLUME AVERAGE PRICE
  £m y-o-y% litres (m) y-o-y% £/ltr y-o-y%
Own Label £622.8 0.6 192.5 -0.6 £3.24 1.2
Muller Corner £183.8 -9.3 64.2 -4.3 £2.86 -5.2
Mullerlight £176.3 -1.5 68.4 4.6 £2.58 -5.8
Activia £145.8 -11.0 51.6 -7.3 £2.82 -4.0
Yeo Valley £109.2 3.1 36.6 3.0 £2.99 0.1
Actimel £96.5 3.7 39.3 4.7 £2.46 -1.0
Cadbury £64.5 1.9 11.7 11.0 £5.49 -8.1
Onken £61.3 -4.7 25.9 -2.1 £2.37 -2.6
Petits Filous £58.9 -4.5 16.8 -6.2 £3.51 1.8
Total £57.6 11.5 11.8 14.2 £4.88 -2.4

● Ninety seven per cent of households buy into the yoghurts & pot desserts market, but we’re buying less volume each time we shop. Therefore volumes are in slight decline.

● This is due to a shift in promotional mechanics to price cuts from volume-driving deals. Another factor is a shift towards big pots, leading to shoppers buying fewer pots per trip.

● Overall prices have risen 0.6%, driven mainly by branded yoghurt and fromage frais. Growth was seen in higher priced Greek-style, dairy-free and protein yoghurts as shoppers moved away from reduced-fat options.

● Shoppers also moved towards more ‘natural’ and less processed options. These ‘healthy’ sectors are particularly popular in a more affluent market, and protein is very much targeting male consumers.

● In dairy-free, Alpro is still dominant but Arla’s newly launched Lactofree already has 6% value share.

Yoghurt category snapshot 2017
TAKE HOME SHARE
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e 1 January 2017
TOTAL  VALUE VOLUME
  £m y-o-y% pots (m) y-o-y%
Yoghurt & Fromage Frais   1,682.5 -           1.0          4,826.0 -           2.2
Chilled Desserts   717.5             1.9          1,530.7             2.8
Yoghurt Drinks 295.6             3.1              977.9             3.9
TOTAL CATEGORY 2,695.5             0.2          7,334.6 -           0.4
     
BRANDS VS OWN LABEL
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e 1 January 2017
  VALUE VOLUME
  £m y-o-y% pots (m) y-o-y%
Branded 1815.0 -           1.2 5024.3 -           2.0
Own Label 880.5             3.3 2310.2             3.4
TOTAL CATEGORY 2695.5             0.2 7334.6 -           0.4
     
RETAIL SHARE
Kantar Worldpanel: 52 w/e 1 January 2017
  VALUE VALUE
retailers grocery category index y-o-y%
Marks & Spencer   3.5 4.3 123.6 2.1
Waitrose   5.0 6.1 123.2 6.6
Asda   13.3 15.5 116.4 -7.0
Sainsbury's   14.2 16.2 114.3 -5.7
Morrisons 10.0 11.3 112.9 4.9
Tesco   25.2 28.1 111.5 -0.6
 Aldi   5.3 4.9 92.4 20.6
 The Co-Operative   5.2 4.5 87.2 -3.3
 Lidl   3.9 3.3 85.1 15.3
 Iceland   2.1 1.4 65.1 19.3